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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:2
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 51 game
73%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 36 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 30 games
77%
Doom
Doomsignature
Ace · 28 games
64%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 28 games
61%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 27 games
78%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 26 games
77%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 26 games
65%

BETBOOM TEAM

Tiny
Tiny
gpK~ · 22 games
59%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 21 game
57%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 20 games
60%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 20 games
65%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 15 games
67%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
60%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
743 picks · 590 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
609 picks · 528 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
553 picks · 1097 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
551 picks · 1304 bans
58%
Techies
Techies
490 picks · 552 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
469 picks · 951 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
462 picks · 1125 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
451 picks · 644 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 49%
Hero pool strength56% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total81% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:50
Gaimin Gladiators 66%BETBOOM TEAM 34%
The model gave 66% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 50:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingdyrachyo
54% · 259 games52% · 307 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Broodmother
BroodmotherAce
49% · 156 games50% · 222 games
Monkey KingNightfall
Monkey King
Void Spirit
Void SpiritQuinn
51% · 265 games53% · 241 game
DoomPure~
Doom
Hoodwink
HoodwinktOfu
43% · 183 games54% · 168 games
TechiesSave-
Techies
Undying
UndyingSeleri
42% · 368 games54% · 293 games
DisruptorTORONTOTOKYO
Disruptor
Game 2prediction correct20:6
Gaimin Gladiators 71%BETBOOM TEAM 29%
The model gave 71% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 22:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladedyrachyo
52% · 218 games52% · 125 games
MorphlingNightfall
Morphling
Underlord
UnderlordAce
55% · 90 games41% · 71 game
KunkkagpK~
Kunkka
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainQuinn
51% · 80 games49% · 289 games
BeastmasterPure~
Beastmaster
Chen
ChenSeleri
63% · 86 games47% · 101 game
PugnaSave-
Pugna
Techies
TechiestOfu
49% · 217 games44% · 105 games
LichTORONTOTOKYO
Lich
Game 3prediction missed12:40
Gaimin Gladiators 69%BETBOOM TEAM 31%
The model gave 69% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAce
52% · 355 games48% · 84 games
MedusaNightfall
Medusa
Lifestealer
Lifestealerdyrachyo
57% · 70 games43% · 259 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Huskar
HuskarQuinn
60% · 34 games48% · 94 games
TidehunterPure~
Tidehunter
Techies
TechiestOfu
52% · 180 games47% · 245 games
EnchantressSave-
Enchantress
Lich
LichSeleri
52% · 112 games48% · 69 games
Shadow DemonTORONTOTOKYO
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 81%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3