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Elite League · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BOOM Esportsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 24 games
67%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 19 games
63%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Seleri · 19 games
63%
Muerta
Muerta
tOfu · 19 games
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
tOfu · 17 games
53%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ace · 14 games
57%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Seleri · 14 games
43%

BOOM Esports

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panda · 21 game
52%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 14 games
29%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordsignature
Pakazs · 14 games
86%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Panda · 14 games
50%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
ILICH- · 13 games
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
ILICH- · 12 games
67%
Magnus
Magnussignature
ILICH- · 11 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Panda · 11 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
494 picks · 790 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
461 picks · 961 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
456 picks · 602 bans
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
455 picks · 200 bans
54%
Techies
Techies
451 picks · 347 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
445 picks · 706 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
441 picks · 204 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
426 picks · 730 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 65%
Hero pool strength52% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% BOOM Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:11
Gaimin Gladiators 43%BOOM Esports 57%
The model gave 57% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 28:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperQuinn
53% · 9 games52% · 115 games
SvenPakazs
Sven
Axe
AxeAce
52% · 19 games49% · 151 game
MagnusILICH-
Magnus
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightdyrachyo
52% · 23 games51% · 72 games
OraclePanda
Oracle
Batrider
BatridertOfu
47% · 191 game
Disruptor
DisruptorSeleri
49% · 96 games
Game 2prediction correct15:31
Gaimin Gladiators 45%BOOM Esports 55%
The model gave 55% on BOOM Esports — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 41:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperQuinn
51% · 19 games50% · 101 game
LunaPakazs
Luna
Broodmother
BroodmotherAce
42% · 38 games51% · 212 games
Primal BeastILICH-
Primal Beast
Weaver
Weaverdyrachyo
51% · 63 games59% · 142 games
Crystal MaidenPanda
Crystal Maiden
Enchantress
EnchantressSeleri
45% · 211 games
Clockwerk
ClockwerktOfu
47% · 124 games
Model check result
Model favoriteBOOM Esports · 63%
Accuracy by game1 of 2