?
arrow_backBack to match
ESL One Malaysia 2022. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
cybercatsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 27 games
59%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 21 game
71%
Bane
Bane
tOfu · 19 games
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 19 games
95%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
tOfu · 19 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 18 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
Ace · 18 games
61%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 17 games
47%

cybercats

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fezor · 25 games
48%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Shigetsu · 18 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
DkFogas · 17 games
76%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Hduo · 13 games
69%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Hduo · 13 games
31%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 12 games
42%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Shigetsu · 11 games
27%
Doom
Doomsignature
Fezor · 11 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
613 picks · 463 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
428 picks · 932 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
363 picks · 586 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
361 picks · 185 bans
51%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
345 picks · 399 bans
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
339 picks · 459 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
319 picks · 197 bans
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
304 picks · 586 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 65%
Hero pool strength57% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:21
Gaimin Gladiators 65%cybercats 35%
The model gave 65% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 41:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Death Prophet
Death ProphetBOOM
55% · 134 games48% · 259 games
PuckEgor
Puck
Razor
RazorAce
44% · 154 games50% · 58 games
BristlebackShigetsu
Bristleback
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekerdyrachyo
50% · 89 games56% · 90 games
VisageDkFogas
Visage
Tiny
TinytOfu
53% · 262 games51% · 175 games
ClockwerkFezor
Clockwerk
Dazzle
DazzleSeleri
49% · 38 games42% · 95 games
JakiroHduo
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct16:6
Gaimin Gladiators 65%cybercats 35%
The model gave 65% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 20:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
Bristlebackdyrachyo
51% · 27 games43% · 28 games
UrsaShigetsu
Ursa
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAce
61% · 136 games56% · 90 games
Death ProphetEgor
Death Prophet
Zeus
ZeusBOOM
41% · 53 games46% · 74 games
Sand KingDkFogas
Sand King
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakertOfu
44% · 90 games61% · 39 games
DazzleHduo
Dazzle
Chen
ChenSeleri
58% · 27 games43% · 102 games
HoodwinkFezor
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 79%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2