DreamLeague Season 26 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Edgeloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Muertasignature
tOfu · 28 games
Pangolieroften banned
Quinn · 19 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 18 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 16 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 16 games
Jakiro
Malady · 16 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Quinn · 16 games
Warlocksignature
Malady · 16 games
Edge
Ringmaster
Yadomi · 6 games
Muerta
Michael · 5 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Yadomi · 4 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 4 games
Slardar
PiPi · 4 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Vitaly · 3 games
Elder Titan
Yadomi · 3 games
Kunkka
Vitaly · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
494 picks · 486 bans
Tiny
401 picks · 548 bans
Ringmaster
362 picks · 169 bans
Terrorblade
279 picks · 535 bans
Storm Spirit
262 picks · 372 bans
Phantom Assassin
260 picks · 516 bans
Tusk
260 picks · 149 bans
Muerta
258 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 33%
Hero pool strength58% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:7
Gaimin Gladiators 82%Edge 18%
The model gave 82% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 27:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LinaWatson
Morphlingpayk
BristlebackAce
BrewmasterVitaly
Monkey KingQuinn
TinyPiPi
PugnaMalady
TinkerYadomi
MuertatOfu
JakiroMichael
Game 2prediction correct27:17
Gaimin Gladiators 82%Edge 18%
The model gave 82% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 34:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PuckQuinn
Lunapayk
Templar AssassinWatson
TerrorbladeVitaly
Centaur WarrunnerAce
Sand KingPiPi
Ancient ApparitionMalady
WarlockYadomi
EarthshakertOfu
Shadow ShamanMichael
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 95%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2