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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:1
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Entityloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 17 games
71%
Bane
Banesignature
tOfu · 15 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 15 games
67%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Ace · 14 games
86%
Weaver
Weaversignature
tOfu · 12 games
67%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
BOOM · 10 games
70%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
dyrachyo · 9 games
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 8 games
63%

Entity

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
440 picks · 264 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
376 picks · 497 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
361 picks · 507 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
348 picks · 482 bans
51%
Kunkka
Kunkka
282 picks · 491 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
272 picks · 418 bans
55%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
261 picks · 178 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
252 picks · 298 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 75%
Hero pool strength60% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total61% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:31
Gaimin Gladiators 39%Entity 61%
The model gave 61% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 42:06.
Game 2prediction missed29:19
Gaimin Gladiators 39%Entity 61%
The model gave 61% on Entity — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 35:02.
Game 3prediction missed29:17
Gaimin Gladiators 39%Entity 61%
The model gave 61% on Entity — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 33:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 61%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3