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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:2
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Entitywin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 25 games
60%
Bane
Banesignature
tOfu · 21 game
62%
Io
Iosignature
Seleri · 20 games
65%
Mars
Marssignature
Ace · 18 games
61%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
tOfu · 18 games
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
tOfu · 17 games
59%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 16 games
94%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 15 games
67%

Entity

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
538 picks · 454 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
443 picks · 682 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
425 picks · 543 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
394 picks · 281 bans
59%
Pangolier
Pangolier
353 picks · 584 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
348 picks · 806 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
335 picks · 542 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 626 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 53%
Hero pool strength59% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total54% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:18
Gaimin Gladiators 54%Entity 46%
The model gave 54% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 33:38.
Game 2prediction missed22:33
Gaimin Gladiators 54%Entity 46%
The model gave 54% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Entity in 32:34.
Game 3prediction missed16:36
Gaimin Gladiators 54%Entity 46%
The model gave 54% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Entity in 32:51.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 54%
Series resultEntity 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3