1win Series Dota 2 Summer · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entityloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 22 games
Batridersignature
tOfu · 21 game
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 18 games
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 16 games
Magnusoften banned
Ace · 16 games
Sniperoften banned
Quinn · 16 games
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 14 games
Rubick
tOfu · 14 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
402 picks · 628 bans
Gyrocopter
345 picks · 365 bans
Centaur Warrunner
336 picks · 432 bans
Crystal Maiden
334 picks · 125 bans
Dark Willow
322 picks · 354 bans
Rubick
318 picks · 163 bans
Clockwerk
313 picks · 422 bans
Pangolier
311 picks · 573 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 72%
Hero pool strength56% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total63% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:1
Gaimin Gladiators 63%Entity 37%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 17:57.
Game 2prediction correct30:18
Gaimin Gladiators 63%Entity 37%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 30:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 63%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2