Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Banesignature
tOfu · 11 games
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 11 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Seleri · 11 games
Tidehuntersignature
Ace · 9 games
Invokeroften banned
BOOM · 7 games
Weaversignature
tOfu · 7 games
Phantom Assassinsignature
dyrachyo · 6 games
Pucksignature
BOOM · 6 games
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
533 picks · 369 bans
Mars
462 picks · 651 bans
Queen of Pain
425 picks · 514 bans
Weaver
411 picks · 859 bans
Snapfire
362 picks · 185 bans
Kunkka
326 picks · 532 bans
Spirit Breaker
323 picks · 511 bans
Disruptor
267 picks · 182 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength61% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:15
Gaimin Gladiators 47%Gambit Esports 53%
The model gave 53% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 32:00.
Game 2prediction missed13:20
Gaimin Gladiators 47%Gambit Esports 53%
The model gave 53% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 35:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 53%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2