?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Heroicloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 23 games
78%
Sniper
Sniper
Quinn · 21 game
57%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 20 games
45%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 18 games
67%
Clinkz
Clinkzsignature
dyrachyo · 17 games
76%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 17 games
82%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 17 games
65%
Batrider
Batridersignature
tOfu · 16 games
75%

Heroic

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
KJ · 24 games
42%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Scofield · 23 games
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Scofield · 22 games
59%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
4nalog · 19 games
47%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
K1 · 19 games
53%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
4nalog · 17 games
59%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
KJ · 15 games
67%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Davai · 15 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
409 picks · 379 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
384 picks · 427 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
369 picks · 534 bans
49%
Jakiro
Jakiro
345 picks · 256 bans
47%
Weaver
Weaver
333 picks · 740 bans
52%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 642 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
314 picks · 753 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
310 picks · 644 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 42%
Hero pool strength57% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total58% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:8
Gaimin Gladiators 53%Heroic 47%
The model gave 53% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 28:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
Muertadyrachyo
45% · 79 games53% · 32 games
Dazzle4nalog
Dazzle
Broodmother
BroodmotherAce
51% · 51 game55% · 134 games
Dragon KnightK1
Dragon Knight
Monkey King
Monkey KingQuinn
54% · 107 games22% · 10 games
VisageDavai
Visage
Sniper
SnipertOfu
52% · 69 games50% · 94 games
TimbersawScofield
Timbersaw
Naga Siren
Naga SirenSeleri
54% · 83 games42% · 119 games
EnchantressKJ
Enchantress
Game 2prediction missed11:38
Gaimin Gladiators 56%Heroic 44%
The model gave 56% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Heroic in 42:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Mirana
Miranadyrachyo
54% · 67 games49% · 128 games
WindrangerK1
Windranger
Earthshaker
EarthshakerQuinn
53% · 60 games46% · 85 games
Earth Spirit4nalog
Earth Spirit
Kunkka
KunkkaAce
55% · 141 game50% · 77 games
MarciDavai
Marci
Enchantress
EnchantressSeleri
46% · 168 games49% · 73 games
SnapfireScofield
Snapfire
Sniper
SnipertOfu
51% · 60 games47% · 133 games
TuskKJ
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 58%
Accuracy by game1 of 2