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Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:1
LGD Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 57 games
75%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 43 games
70%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 37 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 37 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 35 games
69%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 35 games
77%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 32 games
72%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
dyrachyo · 31 game
68%

LGD Gaming

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
niu · 30 games
70%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 27 games
56%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
NothingToSay · 21 game
71%
Disruptor
Disruptor
pLAnet · 20 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
NothingToSay · 20 games
75%
Techies
Techiessignature
pLAnet · 20 games
75%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
niu · 19 games
53%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
pLAnet · 18 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
640 picks · 691 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
504 picks · 332 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
453 picks · 978 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
407 picks · 932 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 861 bans
48%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
393 picks · 353 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
383 picks · 1013 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
380 picks · 448 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 48%
Hero pool strength54% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total61% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:6
Gaimin Gladiators 61%LGD Gaming 39%
The model gave 61% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 30:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
Broodmotherdyrachyo
58% · 144 games48% · 169 games
Ursashiro
Ursa
Pangolier
PangolierQuinn
49% · 331 game45% · 490 games
Ember SpiritNothingToSay
Ember Spirit
Underlord
UnderlordAce
57% · 119 games39% · 154 games
PhoenixpLAnet
Phoenix
Mirana
MiranatOfu
57% · 244 games45% · 168 games
Spirit Breakerniu
Spirit Breaker
Disruptor
DisruptorSeleri
54% · 266 games49% · 123 games
Jakiroy`
Jakiro
Game 2prediction missed28:28
Gaimin Gladiators 57%LGD Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 47:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
BroodmotherAce
46% · 121 game49% · 59 games
Lunashiro
Luna
Pangolier
PangolierQuinn
51% · 273 games48% · 361 game
Primal BeastNothingToSay
Primal Beast
Faceless Void
Faceless Voiddyrachyo
50% · 140 games61% · 262 games
Timbersawniu
Timbersaw
Rubick
RubickSeleri
47% · 399 games47% · 214 games
Keeper of the LightpLAnet
Keeper of the Light
Lion
LiontOfu
47% · 37 games49% · 74 games
Baney`
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 61%
Accuracy by game1 of 2