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BetBoom Xmas Show · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 18 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 17 games
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
tOfu · 16 games
38%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Seleri · 14 games
57%
Marci
Marcisignature
tOfu · 14 games
64%
Tiny
Tinysignature
BOOM · 13 games
62%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
BOOM · 12 games
83%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
dyrachyo · 9 games
56%

Nemiga Gaming

Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Kiritych · 8 games
75%
Puck
Pucksignature
Malr1ne · 8 games
63%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
Kiritych · 7 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Corrupted · 7 games
71%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Hellscream · 7 games
43%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Malr1ne · 7 games
100%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
so bad · 6 games
83%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Hellscream · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
372 picks · 359 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
338 picks · 325 bans
59%
Marci
Marci
257 picks · 494 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
252 picks · 574 bans
52%
Undying
Undying
243 picks · 457 bans
51%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
234 picks · 597 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
223 picks · 130 bans
47%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
218 picks · 142 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:10
Gaimin Gladiators 54%Nemiga Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 26:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
Sniperdyrachyo
47% · 40 games44% · 81 game
Phantom AssassinKiritych
Phantom Assassin
Leshrac
LeshracQuinn
57% · 122 games45% · 87 games
BatriderMalr1ne
Batrider
Beastmaster
BeastmasterAce
50% · 152 games47% · 24 games
MagnusCorrupted
Magnus
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorSeleri
55% · 87 games50% · 137 games
Miranaso bad
Mirana
Oracle
OracletOfu
62% · 28 games45% · 100 games
Monkey KingHellscream
Monkey King
Game 2prediction correct36:19
Gaimin Gladiators 54%Nemiga Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 35:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetAce
46% · 41 game56% · 117 games
LinaKiritych
Lina
Slark
Slarkdyrachyo
59% · 33 games51% · 183 games
PangolierMalr1ne
Pangolier
Leshrac
LeshracQuinn
48% · 117 games59% · 21 game
MagnusCorrupted
Magnus
Clockwerk
ClockwerktOfu
42% · 100 games44% · 69 games
Dark WillowHellscream
Dark Willow
Io
IoSeleri
52% · 119 games47% · 20 games
Elder Titanso bad
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 60%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2