BLAST Slam I · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Underlord
Ace · 21 game
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 20 games
Chensignature
Seleri · 20 games
Invokersignature
Quinn · 18 games
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 17 games
Muerta
tOfu · 17 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 13 games
OG
Hoodwink
Ari · 29 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Ari · 25 games
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 24 games
Timbersawsignature
Wisper · 18 games
Beastmastersignature
Wisper · 16 games
Invokeroften banned
Nine · 16 games
Batridersignature
Ari · 15 games
Dragon Knightsignature
bzm · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
501 picks · 687 bans
Clockwerk
428 picks · 486 bans
Pangolier
374 picks · 539 bans
Luna
357 picks · 457 bans
Dark Willow
348 picks · 180 bans
Dragon Knight
330 picks · 468 bans
Enchantress
321 picks · 641 bans
Batrider
316 picks · 325 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 48%
Hero pool strength50% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total72% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:19
Gaimin Gladiators 62%OG 38%
The model gave 62% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 42:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerWatson
Razor23savage
ViperQuinn
BristlebackWisper
Primal BeastAce
ZeusNine
ChenSeleri
HoodwinkAri
BatridertOfu
ClockwerkxNova
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 72%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1