Riyadh Masters 2023 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:2series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Talon Esportswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 60 games
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 49 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 44 games
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 41 game
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 39 games
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 37 games
Underlordsignature
Ace · 34 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 33 games
Talon Esports
Rubick
Q · 30 games
Silencersignature
Oli · 30 games
Tinysignature
Q · 27 games
Elder Titansignature
Oli · 25 games
Batridersignature
Mikoto · 24 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Jabz · 23 games
Tusk
Q · 22 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Mikoto · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
633 picks · 682 bans
Rubick
488 picks · 312 bans
Batrider
435 picks · 906 bans
Doom
407 picks · 891 bans
Ember Spirit
395 picks · 827 bans
Spirit Breaker
384 picks · 390 bans
Pugna
367 picks · 430 bans
Storm Spirit
364 picks · 839 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 45%
Hero pool strength53% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total81% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Gaimin Gladiators 81%Talon Esports 19%
The model gave 81% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Talon Esports.
Game 2prediction correct
Gaimin Gladiators 81%Talon Esports 19%
The model gave 81% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators.
Game 3prediction missed
Gaimin Gladiators 81%Talon Esports 19%
The model gave 81% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Talon Esports.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 81%
Series resultTalon Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3