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BLAST Slam I · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Falconsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Chen
Chensignature
Seleri · 21 game
67%
Underlord
Underlord
Ace · 21 game
57%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 20 games
65%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Quinn · 18 games
78%
Muerta
Muerta
tOfu · 18 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 17 games
53%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
36%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
dyrachyo · 13 games
77%

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 44 games
68%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 34 games
85%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 31 game
71%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 28 games
61%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 28 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 25 games
56%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Skiter · 23 games
83%
Doom
Doomsignature
ATF · 23 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
506 picks · 687 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
430 picks · 488 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
372 picks · 533 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
356 picks · 457 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
350 picks · 180 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
328 picks · 475 bans
52%
Enchantress
Enchantress
325 picks · 632 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
319 picks · 328 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 69%
Hero pool strength57% Team Falcons
Head-to-head3 – 7
Model total79% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:23
Gaimin Gladiators 31%Team Falcons 69%
The model gave 69% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 1:06:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerAce
47% · 69 games54% · 79 games
BroodmotherATF
Broodmother
Morphling
MorphlingWatson
45% · 192 games57% · 188 games
MagnusMalr1ne
Magnus
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainQuinn
44% · 66 games44% · 26 games
Wraith KingSkiter
Wraith King
Enchantress
EnchantressSeleri
51% · 192 games60% · 147 games
PugnaSneyking
Pugna
Rubick
RubicktOfu
46% · 185 games45% · 264 games
TuskCr1t-
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed27:12
Gaimin Gladiators 31%Team Falcons 69%
The model gave 69% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 36:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightWatson
49% · 397 games56% · 181 game
MagnusSkiter
Magnus
Lina
LinaQuinn
44% · 138 games53% · 340 games
MarsATF
Mars
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerAce
54% · 379 games50% · 235 games
RazorMalr1ne
Razor
Muerta
MuertatOfu
41% · 173 games49% · 322 games
PhoenixSneyking
Phoenix
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSeleri
52% · 333 games51% · 342 games
LionCr1t-
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 79%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2