Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Sorryloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
No Sorry
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
502 picks · 356 bans
Mars
450 picks · 653 bans
Queen of Pain
387 picks · 483 bans
Weaver
387 picks · 839 bans
Snapfire
373 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
300 picks · 508 bans
Spirit Breaker
288 picks · 458 bans
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 355 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Gambit Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:16
Gambit Esports 70%No Sorry 30%
The model gave 70% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by No Sorry in 40:34.
Game 2prediction missed29:36
Gambit Esports 70%No Sorry 30%
The model gave 70% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by No Sorry in 37:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 70%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2