Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Gambit Esportswin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Empireloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gambit Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Team Empire
Bane
Kaori · 21 game
Marsoften banned
Ghostik · 18 games
Kunkkaoften banned
lightless · 14 games
Disruptor
Kaori · 13 games
Weaveroften banned
Kaori · 13 games
Grimstroke
Kaori · 11 games
Iooften banned
[T]SA · 11 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Shisui · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
428 picks · 263 bans
Queen of Pain
379 picks · 492 bans
Mars
349 picks · 497 bans
Weaver
341 picks · 488 bans
Kunkka
279 picks · 473 bans
Death Prophet
253 picks · 386 bans
Grimstroke
249 picks · 172 bans
Wraith King
247 picks · 336 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 58%
Hero pool strength55% Gambit Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Gambit Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:40
Gambit Esports 59%Team Empire 41%
The model gave 59% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Team Empire in 42:40.
Game 2prediction missed32:17
Gambit Esports 59%Team Empire 41%
The model gave 59% on Gambit Esports — the game was taken by Team Empire in 34:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteGambit Esports · 59%
Series resultGambit Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2