Game Master vs Grey Trac — prediction I2ОК · Dota 2

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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3

result vs prediction

Game Masterwin 2:0

series probability

68%32%

probability at match start · final 2:0

Grey Tracloss 0:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Game Master

Dragon Knightoften banned

Monet · 4 games

75%

Marsoften banned

JT- · 4 games

50%

Earth Spirit

7e · 3 games

67%

Shadow Demonoften banned

Kaka · 3 games

100%

Shadow Shaman

Kaka · 3 games

67%

Disruptor

Poloson · 2 games

100%

Enchantressoften banned

Poloson · 2 games

100%

Invokeroften banned

7e · 2 games

50%

Grey Trac

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Hoodwink

612 picks · 395 bans

54%

Rubick

514 picks · 286 bans

50%

Phoenix

479 picks · 579 bans

51%

Tiny

466 picks · 385 bans

49%

Pangolier

422 picks · 590 bans

49%

Puck

341 picks · 964 bans

55%

Tusk

338 picks · 283 bans

54%

Ember Spirit

333 picks · 499 bans

50%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%

Hero pool strength55% Game Master

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total68% Game Master

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct25:7

Game Master 60%Grey Trac 40%

The model gave 60% on Game Master — the game was taken by Game Master in 22:22.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo