ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegionwin 2:0series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9z Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GamerLegion
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 10 games
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 10 games
Snapfiresignature
Bignum · 8 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 7 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 7 games
Batridersignature
Speeed · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
Fayde · 5 games
9z Team
Tidehunteroften banned
drakesh1t · 2 games
Dark Willow
N1NE · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Robo-Z · 1 game
Hoodwink
N1NE · 1 game
Puckoften banned
Robo-Z · 1 game
Queen of Painoften banned
Robo-Z · 1 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Spirit Breaker
N1NE · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
533 picks · 765 bans
Tusk
494 picks · 342 bans
Dragon Knight
462 picks · 640 bans
Centaur Warrunner
444 picks · 546 bans
Shadow Demon
375 picks · 657 bans
Gyrocopter
357 picks · 561 bans
Mars
340 picks · 462 bans
Hoodwink
328 picks · 146 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% 9z Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:6
GamerLegion 73%9z Team 27%
The model gave 73% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 17:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BeastmasterRCY
Underlorddrakesh1t
ViperYamSun
PuckRobo-Z
Night StalkerFayde
Skywrath MageN1NE
ChenSpeeed
ClockwerkBignum
Game 2prediction correct26:4
GamerLegion 77%9z Team 23%
The model gave 77% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 15:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LeshracYamSun
KunkkaRobo-Z
Ember SpiritRCY
Marsdrakesh1t
TimbersawFayde
HoodwinkN1NE
ClockwerkBignum
BatriderSpeeed
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 89%
Series resultGamerLegion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2