BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
GamerLegionwin 1:0series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Heroicloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GamerLegion
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 15 games
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 12 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 11 games
Batridersignature
Speeed · 9 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 9 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Fayde · 9 games
Clockwerksignature
Bignum · 9 games
Pangolieroften banned
Fayde · 8 games
Heroic
Tusk
Scofield · 29 games
Jakirooften banned
KJ · 26 games
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 23 games
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 20 games
Leshracsignature
Wisper · 18 games
Shadow Demonsignature
KJ · 18 games
Ursaoften banned
Yuma · 18 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Yuma · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
593 picks · 929 bans
Tusk
540 picks · 417 bans
Centaur Warrunner
493 picks · 640 bans
Dragon Knight
491 picks · 654 bans
Shadow Demon
434 picks · 936 bans
Ember Spirit
391 picks · 650 bans
Mars
384 picks · 530 bans
Warlock
377 picks · 231 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 54%
Hero pool strength53% Heroic
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total69% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:15
GamerLegion 39%Heroic 61%
The model gave 61% on Heroic — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 40:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AbaddonYamSun
BroodmotherYuma
UnderlordFayde
MarsWisper
Storm SpiritRCY
SniperTaiLung
WarlockSpeeed
ChenKJ
Dark WillowBignum
Shadow ShamanThiolicor
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 69%
Series resultGamerLegion 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1