Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs prediction
GamerLegionwin 3:0series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 3:0
Igniteloss 0:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GamerLegion
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 25 games
Tusksignature
Bignum · 23 games
Warlock
Speeed · 21 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 19 games
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 19 games
Slardaroften banned
Fayde · 18 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 17 games
Ignite
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
608 picks · 378 bans
Rubick
499 picks · 276 bans
Phoenix
495 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 393 bans
Pangolier
411 picks · 573 bans
Puck
349 picks · 941 bans
Beastmaster
337 picks · 878 bans
Tusk
335 picks · 283 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% GamerLegion
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total92% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
GamerLegion 92%Ignite 8%
The model gave 92% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion.
Game 2prediction correct40:12
GamerLegion 92%Ignite 8%
The model gave 92% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 20:45.
Game 3prediction correct31:10
GamerLegion 92%Ignite 8%
The model gave 92% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 19:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 92%
Series resultGamerLegion 3:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3