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DreamLeague Season 28. Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs prediction
GamerLegionwin 3:0
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 3:0
Rottweilas LATAMloss 0:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 9 games
22%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Speeed · 9 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Bignum · 8 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 7 games
57%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Speeed · 6 games
83%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 6 games
17%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 5 games
20%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Fayde · 5 games
40%

Rottweilas LATAM

Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
DaaD- · 3 games
67%
Kez
Kez
DaaD- · 2 games
100%
Muerta
Muerta
Genek · 2 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
Genek · 2 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
100%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
Genek · 1 game
100%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
563 picks · 737 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
507 picks · 355 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
481 picks · 650 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
447 picks · 552 bans
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
376 picks · 629 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
373 picks · 542 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
372 picks · 126 bans
48%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
369 picks · 180 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 63%
Hero pool strength53% Rottweilas LATAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total73% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:6
GamerLegion 62%Rottweilas LATAM 38%
The model gave 62% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 33:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendYamSun
56% · 104 games46% · 247 games
BeastmasterDaaD-
Beastmaster
Void Spirit
Void SpiritRCY
50% · 97 games50% · 182 games
TimbersawAdrx
Timbersaw
Enigma
EnigmaFayde
45% · 72 games49% · 249 games
Shadow DemonGenek
Shadow Demon
Chen
ChenSpeeed
59% · 122 games
Tusk
TuskBignum
49% · 283 games
Game 2prediction correct41:29
GamerLegion 63%Rottweilas LATAM 37%
The model gave 63% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 47:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracRCY
49% · 151 game49% · 180 games
GyrocopterDaaD-
Gyrocopter
Clinkz
ClinkzYamSun
62% · 29 games49% · 162 games
MarsAdrx
Mars
Kunkka
KunkkaFayde
47% · 63 games45% · 181 game
SnapfireGenek
Snapfire
Elder Titan
Elder TitanSpeeed
49% · 58 games
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonBignum
57% · 222 games
Game 3prediction correct33:16
GamerLegion 64%Rottweilas LATAM 36%
The model gave 64% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 30:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendYamSun
57% · 50 games44% · 24 games
LunaDaaD-
Luna
Invoker
InvokerRCY
49% · 74 games47% · 164 games
TidehunterAdrx
Tidehunter
Axe
AxeFayde
48% · 87 games49% · 287 games
TinyGenek
Tiny
Jakiro
JakiroBignum
52% · 253 games
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorSpeeed
62% · 11 games
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 73%
Series resultGamerLegion 3:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3