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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
GamerLegionloss 0:2
series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Falconswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 24 games
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Bignum · 22 games
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 18 games
44%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 18 games
56%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
44%
Largo
Largooften banned
Fayde · 17 games
47%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Speeed · 17 games
41%
Rubick
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
59%

Team Falcons

Tiny
Tinysignature
Skiter · 33 games
76%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ATF · 25 games
56%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 24 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Cr1t- · 23 games
61%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 23 games
61%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Cr1t- · 22 games
55%
Razor
Razor
ATF · 22 games
59%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
Cr1t- · 22 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
614 picks · 439 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
553 picks · 319 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
409 picks · 373 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
407 picks · 592 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
385 picks · 432 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
339 picks · 494 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
332 picks · 373 bans
46%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
329 picks · 628 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 65%
Hero pool strength54% Team Falcons
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total86% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:39
GamerLegion 27%Team Falcons 73%
The model gave 73% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 1:16:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Viper
ViperRCY
49% · 136 games53% · 177 games
WindrangerSkiter
Windranger
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerGhost
55% · 87 games50% · 194 games
SnapfireMalr1ne
Snapfire
Axe
AxeFayde
48% · 232 games43% · 117 games
DawnbreakerATF
Dawnbreaker
Silencer
SilencerSpeeed
49% · 129 games56% · 110 games
Treant ProtectorSneyking
Treant Protector
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBignum
46% · 157 games51% · 143 games
ClockwerkCr1t-
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct17:26
GamerLegion 29%Team Falcons 71%
The model gave 71% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 43:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerRCY
57% · 139 games47% · 39 games
NecrophosATF
Necrophos
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendGhost
51% · 243 games47% · 29 games
Earth SpiritMalr1ne
Earth Spirit
Night Stalker
Night StalkerFayde
53% · 30 games50% · 282 games
TinySkiter
Tiny
Undying
UndyingSpeeed
53% · 88 games47% · 101 game
EnchantressSneyking
Enchantress
Dark Willow
Dark WillowBignum
46% · 105 games48% · 154 games
ClockwerkCr1t-
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 86%
Series resultTeam Falcons 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2