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BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
GamerLegionloss 0:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Virtus.prowin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 22 games
41%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Speeed · 21 game
57%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 20 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 19 games
53%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 18 games
44%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Speeed · 14 games
64%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Bignum · 14 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 13 games
23%

Virtus.pro

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Fly · 37 games
46%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 25 games
48%
Warlock
Warlock
Fly · 24 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SabeRLight- · 22 games
45%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Hellscream · 18 games
33%
Puck
Pucksignature
Abed · 17 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Abed · 16 games
38%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
SabeRLight- · 15 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
677 picks · 843 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 1140 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
404 picks · 687 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
395 picks · 621 bans
48%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1028 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 35%
Hero pool strength52% GamerLegion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:18
GamerLegion 58%Virtus.pro 42%
The model gave 58% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 52:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 58%
Series resultVirtus.pro 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1