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BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Geek Famloss 0:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Army Geniuseswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Geek Fam

Mars
Marssignature
eleven · 15 games
60%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
ace12 · 14 games
57%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
423 · 13 games
46%
Rubick
Rubick
Hishge · 13 games
54%
Tiny
Tiny
Sancity · 13 games
54%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
ace12 · 11 games
55%
Visage
Visageoften banned
eleven · 9 games
56%
Mirana
Miranasignature
ace12 · 8 games
75%

Army Geniuses

Tiny
Tinysignature
inYourdreaM · 25 games
60%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
woMy · 14 games
36%
Mars
Marssignature
woMy · 12 games
75%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
db- · 12 games
58%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
NARMAN · 10 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Varizh · 10 games
60%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Varizh · 10 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Yowe · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
373 picks · 595 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
326 picks · 214 bans
49%
Undying
Undying
304 picks · 544 bans
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
250 picks · 479 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
245 picks · 371 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
233 picks · 141 bans
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
215 picks · 275 bans
51%
Enigma
Enigma
210 picks · 718 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Army Geniuses
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Army Geniuses
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:43
Geek Fam 47%Army Geniuses 53%
The model gave 53% on Army Geniuses — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 33:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracSkem
48% · 99 games61% · 76 games
DawnbreakerinYourdreaM
Dawnbreaker
Beastmaster
BeastmasterForce
54% · 148 games58% · 11 games
HuskarYowe
Huskar
Dark Willow
Dark WillowNARMAN
45% · 59 games46% · 87 games
Razordb-
Razor
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterRoddgeee
little data39% · 29 games
Earthshakercml
Earthshaker
54% · 103 games
MiranaVarizh
Mirana
Game 2prediction correct20:45
Geek Fam 49%Army Geniuses 51%
The model gave 51% on Army Geniuses — the game was taken by Army Geniuses in 33:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Arc Warden
Arc WardenSkem
42% · 8 games57% · 33 games
LifestealerinYourdreaM
Lifestealer
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorForce
51% · 112 games46% · 69 games
Razordb-
Razor
Naga Siren
Naga SirenRoddgeee
46% · 50 games47% · 29 games
Void SpiritYowe
Void Spirit
Disruptor
DisruptorNARMAN
56% · 97 games54% · 66 games
Tuskcml
Tusk
38% · 70 games
GrimstrokeVarizh
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteArmy Geniuses · 55%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2