BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Geek Famloss 1:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:1
PPPurple Paradoxloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Geek Fam
Marssignature
eleven · 14 games
Skywrath Mage
ace12 · 14 games
Tiny
Sancity · 13 games
Broodmotheroften banned
423 · 11 games
Rubick
Hishge · 9 games
Undyingoften banned
ace12 · 9 games
Visageoften banned
eleven · 9 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
423 · 7 games
Purple Paradox
Dawnbreakeroften banned
seimei · 3 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
seimei · 1 game
Bounty Hunter
seimei · 1 game
Slardaroften banned
seimei · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
370 picks · 575 bans
Undying
332 picks · 570 bans
Tiny
320 picks · 217 bans
Pangolier
238 picks · 331 bans
Primal Beast
237 picks · 461 bans
Enigma
233 picks · 735 bans
Shadow Fiend
209 picks · 244 bans
Death Prophet
207 picks · 303 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% Purple Paradox
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Purple Paradox
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:41
Geek Fam 48%Purple Paradox 52%
The model gave 52% on Purple Paradox — the game was taken by Purple Paradox in 40:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinSkem
Spirit Breakerseimei
BroodmotherForce
SnapfireNARMAN
Faceless VoidRoddgeee
Game 2prediction missed37:17
Geek Fam 48%Purple Paradox 52%
The model gave 52% on Purple Paradox — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 31:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SlarkSkem
Dawnbreakerseimei
BroodmotherForce
ClockwerkNARMAN
DisruptorRoddgeee
Model check result
Model favoritePurple Paradox · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2