BTS Pro Series Season 13: ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Geek Famloss 0:2series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Unity Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Geek Fam
Marssignature
eleven · 15 games
Skywrath Mage
ace12 · 14 games
Broodmotheroften banned
423 · 13 games
Tiny
Sancity · 13 games
Rubick
Hishge · 11 games
Undyingoften banned
ace12 · 11 games
Visageoften banned
eleven · 9 games
Miranasignature
ace12 · 8 games
Unity Gaming
Disruptor
Lwwnb · 4 games
Pangolieroften banned
xiaoyu154 · 4 games
Tusk
Night · 4 games
Linaoften banned
Night · 3 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 2 games
Leshracoften banned
Night · 2 games
Lich
Lwwnb · 2 games
Lion
CatYou · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
377 picks · 603 bans
Tiny
318 picks · 205 bans
Undying
312 picks · 560 bans
Primal Beast
251 picks · 480 bans
Pangolier
241 picks · 361 bans
Enigma
214 picks · 728 bans
Tusk
214 picks · 133 bans
Shadow Fiend
213 picks · 268 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 33%
Hero pool strength51% Geek Fam
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% Geek Fam
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:32
Geek Fam 70%Unity Gaming 30%
The model gave 70% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Unity Gaming in 39:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone DruidSkem
LinaNight
TuskForce
Slarkmks-
RubickNARMAN
Tidehunterxiaoyu154
Dark WillowRoddgeee
TinyCatYou
52% · 66 games
DisruptorLwwnb
Game 2prediction missed38:35
Geek Fam 71%Unity Gaming 29%
The model gave 71% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Unity Gaming in 45:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SlarkSkem
LinaNight
PangolierForce
Faceless Voidmks-
EarthshakerNARMAN
Enigmaxiaoyu154
DisruptorRoddgeee
TuskCatYou
45% · 72 games
Treant ProtectorLwwnb
Model check result
Model favoriteGeek Fam · 84%
Series resultUnity Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2