Школьная лига 2023 · BO3
result vs predictionГ№Гимназия №1loss 1:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Ш№Школа №1win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Гимназия №1
No games played over 6 months.
Школа №1
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
272 picks · 439 bans
Dark Willow
235 picks · 114 bans
Muerta
235 picks · 327 bans
Phoenix
222 picks · 326 bans
Treant Protector
218 picks · 439 bans
Tusk
205 picks · 173 bans
Kunkka
204 picks · 541 bans
Centaur Warrunner
195 picks · 268 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Гимназия №1
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Гимназия №1
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Гимназия №1 50%Школа №1 50%
The model gave 50% on Гимназия №1 — the game was taken by Гимназия №1.
Game 2prediction missed
Гимназия №1 50%Школа №1 50%
The model gave 50% on Гимназия №1 — the game was taken by Школа №1.
Game 3prediction missed
Гимназия №1 50%Школа №1 50%
The model gave 50% on Гимназия №1 — the game was taken by Школа №1.
Model check result
Model favoriteГимназия №1 · 50%
Series resultШкола №1 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3