DreamLeague Season 26. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionGGladiatorTeamsloss 1:2
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
4Z4 Zoomerswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GladiatorTeams
No games played over 6 months.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
536 picks · 746 bans
Muerta
437 picks · 318 bans
Phoenix
433 picks · 707 bans
Clockwerk
410 picks · 403 bans
Bristleback
390 picks · 882 bans
Phantom Assassin
388 picks · 687 bans
Magnus
386 picks · 1030 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 511 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% GladiatorTeams
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
GladiatorTeams 48%4 Zoomers 52%
The model gave 52% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by GladiatorTeams.
Game 2prediction correct
GladiatorTeams 48%4 Zoomers 52%
The model gave 52% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers.
Game 3prediction correct26:42
GladiatorTeams 48%4 Zoomers 52%
The model gave 52% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 35:00.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 52%
Series result4 Zoomers 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3