BLAST Slam VII. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
GLYPHwin 2:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
KKukuysV3loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GLYPH
No games played over 6 months.
KukuysV3
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
678 picks · 843 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 578 bans
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 1147 bans
Ember Spirit
407 picks · 691 bans
Mars
396 picks · 621 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1029 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% GLYPH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% GLYPH
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
GLYPH 55%KukuysV3 45%
The model gave 55% on GLYPH — the game was taken by KukuysV3.
Game 2prediction correct
GLYPH 55%KukuysV3 45%
The model gave 55% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH.
Game 3prediction correct
GLYPH 55%KukuysV3 45%
The model gave 55% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH.
Model check result
Model favoriteGLYPH · 55%
Series resultGLYPH 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3