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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
GLYPHloss 0:2
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
OGwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GLYPH

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
NARMAN · 9 games
44%
Rubick
Rubick
Jhocam · 9 games
33%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
zeal · 9 games
67%
Tusk
Tusk
Jhocam · 9 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 8 games
38%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
JaCkky · 8 games
50%
Windranger
Windranger
JaCkky · 8 games
50%

OG

Tiny
Tiny
Yopaj · 14 games
36%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Tims · 12 games
42%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
Force · 12 games
25%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Force · 11 games
64%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Tims · 11 games
27%
Windranger
Windranger
Natsumi · 11 games
45%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Skem · 10 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Skem · 10 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
635 picks · 439 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
587 picks · 329 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
471 picks · 559 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
457 picks · 662 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
433 picks · 374 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
350 picks · 523 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
342 picks · 410 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
340 picks · 1032 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 26%
Hero pool strength55% GLYPH
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total65% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:30
GLYPH 43%OG 57%
The model gave 57% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 42:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerJaCkky
56% · 57 games48% · 217 games
MuertaNatsumi
Muerta
Huskar
HuskarEmo
57% · 85 games52% · 321 game
BatriderYopaj
Batrider
Undying
Undyingzeal
49% · 92 games50% · 89 games
Night StalkerRaven
Night Stalker
Puck
PuckJhocam
48% · 403 games43% · 317 games
RubickTims
Rubick
Hoodwink
HoodwinkNARMAN
52% · 517 games48% · 210 games
ClockwerkSkem
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct15:30
GLYPH 44%OG 56%
The model gave 56% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 48:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
Timbersawzeal
53% · 187 games43% · 401 game
TinyNatsumi
Tiny
Lifestealer
LifestealerJaCkky
47% · 116 games47% · 87 games
Night StalkerYopaj
Night Stalker
Puck
PuckEmo
50% · 408 games58% · 215 games
AxeRaven
Axe
Clockwerk
ClockwerkJhocam
50% · 178 games54% · 34 games
Ancient ApparitionSkem
Ancient Apparition
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernNARMAN
46% · 67 games52% · 219 games
WindrangerTims
Windranger
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 65%
Series resultOG 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2