ESL One Birmingham 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Go alongwin 1:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 1:0
THTeam Huskyloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Go along
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Killa · 3 games
Weaveroften banned
TK · 3 games
Dark Willow
TK · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Killa · 2 games
Doomoften banned
Killa · 2 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
TK · 2 games
Phoenixoften banned
TK · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Killa · 1 game
Team Husky
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
296 picks · 428 bans
Phoenix
272 picks · 405 bans
Grimstroke
260 picks · 441 bans
Tusk
226 picks · 206 bans
Nature's Prophet
225 picks · 629 bans
Lion
224 picks · 201 bans
Vengeful Spirit
220 picks · 111 bans
Pangolier
214 picks · 306 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% Go along
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Go along
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Go along 65%Team Husky 35%
The model gave 65% on Go along — the game was taken by Go along.
Model check result
Model favoriteGo along · 65%
Series resultGo along 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1