PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Gods of Hellloss 0:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
9A9class ate my homeworkwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gods of Hell
Windrangeroften banned
N1NE · 2 games
Clockwerkoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Hoodwinkoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
Juggernautoften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Troll Warlordoften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
N1NE · 1 game
9class ate my homework
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
414 picks · 319 bans
Hoodwink
410 picks · 442 bans
Weaver
392 picks · 825 bans
Tiny
383 picks · 878 bans
Phoenix
360 picks · 715 bans
Pangolier
354 picks · 508 bans
Clockwerk
342 picks · 486 bans
Dragon Knight
302 picks · 536 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% 9class ate my homework
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% 9class ate my homework
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Gods of Hell 34%9class ate my homework 66%
The model gave 66% on 9class ate my homework — the game was taken by 9class ate my homework.
Game 2prediction correct
Gods of Hell 34%9class ate my homework 66%
The model gave 66% on 9class ate my homework — the game was taken by 9class ate my homework.
Model check result
Model favorite9class ate my homework · 66%
Series result9class ate my homework 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2