The International 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Gods of Hellwin 2:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Kimi.no.na.waloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gods of Hell
No games played over 6 months.
Kimi.no.na.wa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
481 picks · 223 bans
Tiny
452 picks · 749 bans
Centaur Warrunner
429 picks · 638 bans
Gyrocopter
426 picks · 411 bans
Batrider
403 picks · 759 bans
Rubick
383 picks · 166 bans
Dragon Knight
355 picks · 1041 bans
Pangolier
353 picks · 742 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Gods of Hell
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Gods of Hell
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Gods of Hell 63%Kimi.no.na.wa 37%
The model gave 63% on Gods of Hell — the game was taken by Gods of Hell.
Game 2prediction missed
Gods of Hell 63%Kimi.no.na.wa 37%
The model gave 63% on Gods of Hell — the game was taken by Kimi.no.na.wa.
Game 3prediction correct
Gods of Hell 63%Kimi.no.na.wa 37%
The model gave 63% on Gods of Hell — the game was taken by Gods of Hell.
Model check result
Model favoriteGods of Hell · 63%
Series resultGods of Hell 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3