BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
GoodWin Teamloss 0:2series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cooman Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GoodWin Team
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Mariachi · 6 games
Void Spirit
GoodWin · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
Lesn4ok · 4 games
Bane
GoodWin · 3 games
Disruptor
Leviamur · 3 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Mariachi · 3 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Mariachi · 3 games
Legion Commander
Noticed · 3 games
Cooman Team
Alchemist
Cooman · 2 games
Bane
Degi · 2 games
Bristleback
Lagoona · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Lagoona · 2 games
Clinkz
judah · 2 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Lagoona · 2 games
Phoenix
Lagoona · 2 games
Razoroften banned
Lagoona · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
431 picks · 398 bans
Snapfire
406 picks · 206 bans
Puck
349 picks · 899 bans
Pugna
320 picks · 365 bans
Warlock
286 picks · 140 bans
Tusk
283 picks · 227 bans
Batrider
276 picks · 673 bans
Queen of Pain
276 picks · 840 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength55% GoodWin Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% GoodWin Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:38
GoodWin Team 60%Cooman Team 40%
The model gave 60% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by Cooman Team in 47:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetNoticed
MorphlingCooman
Dragon KnightMariachi
Tidehunterjudah
BatriderRayx
PhoenixLagoona
ZeusGoodWin
WeaverRavshan
Shadow ShamanBOOKER
Crystal MaidenDegi
Game 2prediction missed26:35
GoodWin Team 59%Cooman Team 41%
The model gave 59% on GoodWin Team — the game was taken by Cooman Team in 48:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DoomNoticed
Faceless VoidCooman
LunaMariachi
Dragon Knightjudah
Sand KingRayx
Elder TitanLagoona
WarlockGoodWin
JakiroDegi
SnapfireBOOKER
LionRavshan
Model check result
Model favoriteGoodWin Team · 67%
Series resultCooman Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2