BetBoom Streamers Battle 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
GoodWin Teamloss 1:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
TpaBoMaH Teamwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GoodWin Team
No games played over 6 months.
TpaBoMaH Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
314 picks · 461 bans
Phoenix
278 picks · 414 bans
Grimstroke
266 picks · 445 bans
Lion
245 picks · 219 bans
Vengeful Spirit
242 picks · 135 bans
Nature's Prophet
234 picks · 676 bans
Pangolier
233 picks · 325 bans
Tusk
232 picks · 216 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% GoodWin Team
Head-to-head2 – 5
Model total51% TpaBoMaH Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:50
GoodWin Team 49%TpaBoMaH Team 51%
The model gave 51% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 50:00.
Game 2prediction correct29:12
GoodWin Team 49%TpaBoMaH Team 51%
The model gave 51% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 31:50.
Game 3prediction correct29:13
GoodWin Team 49%TpaBoMaH Team 51%
The model gave 51% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 37:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteTpaBoMaH Team · 51%
Series resultTpaBoMaH Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3