BetBoom Streamers Battle 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
GoodWin Teamloss 1:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 1:2
TpaBoMaH Teamwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GoodWin Team
No games played over 6 months.
TpaBoMaH Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
473 picks · 204 bans
Batrider
444 picks · 796 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 595 bans
Centaur Warrunner
432 picks · 633 bans
Rubick
415 picks · 173 bans
Pangolier
382 picks · 727 bans
Mars
371 picks · 604 bans
Techies
363 picks · 276 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 83%
Hero pool strength50% GoodWin Team
Head-to-head2 – 4
Model total68% TpaBoMaH Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:41
GoodWin Team 32%TpaBoMaH Team 68%
The model gave 68% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 45:37.
Game 2prediction missed51:20
GoodWin Team 32%TpaBoMaH Team 68%
The model gave 68% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 35:09.
Game 3prediction correct25:30
GoodWin Team 32%TpaBoMaH Team 68%
The model gave 68% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 41:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteTpaBoMaH Team · 68%
Series resultTpaBoMaH Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3