BetBoom Streamers Battle 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
GoodWin Teamloss 0:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
TpaBoMaH Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GoodWin Team
Disruptor
Leviamur · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
GoodWin · 1 game
Marsoften banned
ChodΣX · 1 game
Shadow Shaman
Lesn4ok · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
Mariachi · 1 game
TpaBoMaH Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
473 picks · 444 bans
Tiny
442 picks · 502 bans
Ringmaster
432 picks · 200 bans
Terrorblade
330 picks · 579 bans
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 402 bans
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 604 bans
Tusk
277 picks · 180 bans
Windranger
263 picks · 74 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% GoodWin Team
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total64% TpaBoMaH Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:29
GoodWin Team 36%TpaBoMaH Team 64%
The model gave 64% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 43:40.
Game 2prediction correct22:35
GoodWin Team 36%TpaBoMaH Team 64%
The model gave 64% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 39:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteTpaBoMaH Team · 64%
Series resultTpaBoMaH Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2