Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gorillaloss 1:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Baby Build Houseloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gorilla
No games played over 6 months.
Baby Build House
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
482 picks · 450 bans
Mars
481 picks · 668 bans
Bane
458 picks · 278 bans
Dragon Knight
420 picks · 497 bans
Sand King
414 picks · 568 bans
Storm Spirit
401 picks · 654 bans
Pangolier
370 picks · 579 bans
Grimstroke
351 picks · 301 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Gorilla
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Gorilla
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:16
Gorilla 55%Baby Build House 45%
The model gave 55% on Gorilla — the game was taken by Gorilla in 27:57.
Game 2prediction missed62:32
Gorilla 55%Baby Build House 45%
The model gave 55% on Gorilla — the game was taken by Baby Build House in 42:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteGorilla · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2