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Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gorillaloss 1:1
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gorilla

Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Night · 2 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Molasses · 1 game
0%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
小郭嘉 · 1 game
0%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Night · 1 game
100%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Fonte · 1 game
0%
Marci
Marcioften banned
小郭嘉 · 1 game
100%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Molasses · 1 game
0%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Fonte · 1 game
0%

Yangon Galacticos

Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ksh · 6 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
40%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
50%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Ksh · 2 games
50%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
0%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
100%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 1 game
100%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
486 picks · 452 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
484 picks · 676 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
459 picks · 281 bans
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
429 picks · 504 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
414 picks · 571 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
402 picks · 652 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
376 picks · 595 bans
53%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
353 picks · 306 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:22
Gorilla 47%Yangon Galacticos 53%
The model gave 53% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 25:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinFonte
32% · 53 games51% · 144 games
MorphlingKsh
Morphling
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNight
48% · 101 game54% · 272 games
PangolierYoung PH
Pangolier
Death Prophet
Death ProphetMolasses
49% · 105 games
Bane
Bane小郭嘉
61% · 157 games
Game 2prediction missed39:23
Gorilla 47%Yangon Galacticos 53%
The model gave 53% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Gorilla in 39:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistFonte
38% · 4 games53% · 42 games
JuggernautKsh
Juggernaut
Puck
PuckNight
47% · 70 games54% · 137 games
Ember SpiritYoung PH
Ember Spirit
Viper
ViperMolasses
41% · 46 games
Disruptor
Disruptor小郭嘉
52% · 59 games
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2