Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Gorillaz-Prideloss 1:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Ravenswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gorillaz-Pride
Snapfire
d1smar · 7 games
Tusksignature
Genek · 7 games
Bane
Genek · 5 games
Hoodwink
d1smar · 5 games
Kunkkaoften banned
NaoG · 5 games
Linaoften banned
TaO · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Cara · 5 games
Invokeroften banned
TaO · 4 games
Ravens
Kunkkaoften banned
DaaD- · 3 games
Mirana
d1smar · 3 games
Disruptor
Cara · 2 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 2 games
Bane
Cara · 1 game
Chaos Knightoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Dragon Knight
Benjaz · 1 game
Earth Spirit
d1smar · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
475 picks · 281 bans
Mars
397 picks · 549 bans
Queen of Pain
365 picks · 506 bans
Weaver
358 picks · 476 bans
Death Prophet
313 picks · 508 bans
Kunkka
289 picks · 526 bans
Ember Spirit
271 picks · 360 bans
Grimstroke
269 picks · 190 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 67%
Hero pool strength58% Gorillaz-Pride
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 55%
Series resultRavens 1:2
Series predictioncorrect