IESF World Esports Championship 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Грецияloss 1:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Кыргызстанwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Греция
No games played over 6 months.
Кыргызстан
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
459 picks · 614 bans
Clockwerk
392 picks · 428 bans
Pangolier
337 picks · 478 bans
Luna
334 picks · 417 bans
Enchantress
313 picks · 603 bans
Dark Willow
309 picks · 166 bans
Dragon Knight
290 picks · 354 bans
Sand King
274 picks · 805 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 42%
Hero pool strength50% Греция
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Греция
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Греция 53%Кыргызстан 47%
The model gave 53% on Греция — the game was taken by Кыргызстан.
Game 2prediction correct
Греция 53%Кыргызстан 47%
The model gave 53% on Греция — the game was taken by Греция.
Game 3prediction missed
Греция 53%Кыргызстан 47%
The model gave 53% on Греция — the game was taken by Кыргызстан.
Model check result
Model favoriteГреция · 53%
Series resultКыргызстан 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3