ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Groomifywin 2:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Call911loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Groomify
Bane
Teehee · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
YoungGodLevi · 1 game
Call911
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
424 picks · 344 bans
Clockwerk
410 picks · 539 bans
Tusk
358 picks · 377 bans
Lion
356 picks · 186 bans
Batrider
355 picks · 448 bans
Pangolier
351 picks · 582 bans
Beastmaster
336 picks · 817 bans
Gyrocopter
333 picks · 531 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 33%
Hero pool strength59% Call911
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Call911
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Groomify 45%Call911 55%
The model gave 55% on Call911 — the game was taken by Call911.
Game 2prediction missed
Groomify 45%Call911 55%
The model gave 55% on Call911 — the game was taken by Groomify.
Game 3prediction missed
Groomify 45%Call911 55%
The model gave 55% on Call911 — the game was taken by Groomify.
Model check result
Model favoriteCall911 · 55%
Series resultGroomify 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3