DreamLeague Season 25. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Groomifyloss 0:1series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:1
InterActive Philippineswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Groomify
Bane
Teehee · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
YoungGodLevi · 1 game
InterActive Philippines
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
395 picks · 498 bans
Muerta
377 picks · 290 bans
Tusk
366 picks · 398 bans
Pangolier
347 picks · 552 bans
Batrider
324 picks · 386 bans
Beastmaster
321 picks · 724 bans
Lion
312 picks · 151 bans
Phoenix
293 picks · 264 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 40%
Hero pool strength58% InterActive Philippines
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% InterActive Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Groomify 35%InterActive Philippines 65%
The model gave 65% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines.
Model check result
Model favoriteInterActive Philippines · 65%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1