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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Guardian of the Forestloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Passion UAwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Guardian of the Forest

No games played over 6 months.

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
niche · 26 games
42%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 23 games
48%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Batyuk · 18 games
67%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Batyuk · 16 games
44%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 16 games
44%
Muerta
Muerta
Fernans · 16 games
56%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Fernans · 15 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenix
kreker · 15 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
471 picks · 443 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
444 picks · 499 bans
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
433 picks · 208 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
333 picks · 583 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
292 picks · 402 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 613 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
277 picks · 186 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
264 picks · 74 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 32%
Hero pool strength51% Guardian of the Forest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:32
Guardian of the Forest 32%Passion UA 68%
The model gave 68% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA in 31:46.
Game 2prediction correct16:33
Guardian of the Forest 32%Passion UA 68%
The model gave 68% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA in 30:15.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 68%
Series resultPassion UA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2