Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO5
result vs predictionHTHao Teamloss 0:3
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:3
STSomnus Teamwin 3:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hao Team
No games played over 6 months.
Somnus Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
531 picks · 321 bans
Phoenix
495 picks · 586 bans
Tiny
442 picks · 361 bans
Jakiro
395 picks · 296 bans
Rubick
395 picks · 217 bans
Tusk
344 picks · 311 bans
Puck
341 picks · 868 bans
Beastmaster
336 picks · 851 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Hao Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total68% Hao Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:37
Hao Team 68%Somnus Team 32%
The model gave 68% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team in 20:23.
Game 2prediction missed
Hao Team 68%Somnus Team 32%
The model gave 68% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Game 3prediction missed
Hao Team 68%Somnus Team 32%
The model gave 68% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteHao Team · 68%
Series resultSomnus Team 0:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3