Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO5
result vs predictionHTHao Teamwin 4:0
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 4:0
ZTZhou Teamloss 0:4
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hao Team
No games played over 6 months.
Zhou Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
512 picks · 279 bans
Phoenix
483 picks · 565 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 352 bans
Jakiro
442 picks · 346 bans
Tusk
378 picks · 326 bans
Beastmaster
348 picks · 838 bans
Puck
345 picks · 843 bans
Rubick
336 picks · 177 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Hao Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Hao Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Hao Team 63%Zhou Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Game 2prediction correct
Hao Team 63%Zhou Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Game 3prediction correct
Hao Team 63%Zhou Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Game 4prediction correct
Hao Team 63%Zhou Team 37%
The model gave 63% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteHao Team · 63%
Series resultHao Team 4:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game4 of 4