Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO5
result vs predictionHTHao Teamwin 3:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 3:1
ZTZhou Teamloss 1:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hao Team
No games played over 6 months.
Zhou Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
564 picks · 353 bans
Phoenix
479 picks · 567 bans
Rubick
459 picks · 241 bans
Tiny
436 picks · 372 bans
Pangolier
385 picks · 535 bans
Puck
331 picks · 869 bans
Beastmaster
320 picks · 808 bans
Tusk
310 picks · 267 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Hao Team
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total51% Hao Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Hao Team 51%Zhou Team 49%
The model gave 51% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Game 2prediction missed
Hao Team 51%Zhou Team 49%
The model gave 51% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Zhou Team.
Game 3prediction correct
Hao Team 51%Zhou Team 49%
The model gave 51% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Game 4prediction correct
Hao Team 51%Zhou Team 49%
The model gave 51% on Hao Team — the game was taken by Hao Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteHao Team · 51%
Series resultHao Team 3:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 4