BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Happy Sealsloss 0:2series probability
17%83%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infamouswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Happy Seals
No games played over 6 months.
Infamous
Banesignature
Prada · 6 games
Marssignature
Mariano · 6 games
Monkey Kingsignature
PiPi · 6 games
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 6 games
Mirana
Pamplona · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
Snapfire
Pamplona · 5 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rises · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
452 picks · 282 bans
Mars
451 picks · 618 bans
Tiny
417 picks · 480 bans
Sand King
387 picks · 504 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 780 bans
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 535 bans
Storm Spirit
326 picks · 506 bans
Pangolier
322 picks · 478 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 44%
Hero pool strength63% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct61:10
Happy Seals 17%Infamous 83%
The model gave 83% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 28:17.
Game 2prediction correct40:21
Happy Seals 17%Infamous 83%
The model gave 83% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 27:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 83%
Series resultInfamous 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2