Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Восточная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Happy Togetherloss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
CYBER UNIONwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Happy Together
No games played over 6 months.
CYBER UNION
Tiny
Miyaoo · 12 games
Silencer
Arti_Shock · 11 games
Tusk
OneJey · 10 games
Lich
Arti_Shock · 6 games
Primal Beastoften banned
klassnokruto · 5 games
Pudgeoften banned
dizzying · 5 games
Undyingoften banned
OneJey · 5 games
Clockwerk
OneJey · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
354 picks · 253 bans
Marci
316 picks · 557 bans
Undying
284 picks · 466 bans
Tusk
282 picks · 192 bans
Pangolier
250 picks · 428 bans
Primal Beast
238 picks · 512 bans
Shadow Fiend
217 picks · 294 bans
Crystal Maiden
209 picks · 105 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 45%
Hero pool strength56% Happy Together
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Happy Together
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:15
Happy Together 56%CYBER UNION 44%
The model gave 56% on Happy Together — the game was taken by CYBER UNION in 42:39.
Game 2prediction missed20:38
Happy Together 56%CYBER UNION 44%
The model gave 56% on Happy Together — the game was taken by CYBER UNION in 33:37.
Model check result
Model favoriteHappy Together · 56%
Series resultCYBER UNION 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2