Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Западная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
HAVU Gamingwin 2:0series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GOGen of Miraclesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HAVU Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Gen of Miracles
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
776 picks · 585 bans
Disruptor
549 picks · 439 bans
Tiny
441 picks · 377 bans
Nature's Prophet
414 picks · 689 bans
Beastmaster
411 picks · 959 bans
Undying
401 picks · 587 bans
Mirana
388 picks · 207 bans
Ember Spirit
387 picks · 895 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% HAVU Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Gen of Miracles
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:26
HAVU Gaming 39%Gen of Miracles 61%
The model gave 61% on Gen of Miracles — the game was taken by HAVU Gaming in 37:43.
Game 2prediction missed39:10
HAVU Gaming 39%Gen of Miracles 61%
The model gave 61% on Gen of Miracles — the game was taken by HAVU Gaming in 32:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteGen of Miracles · 61%
Series resultHAVU Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2